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Md Nadim Ahmed's avatar

### The Perils of Vertical Integration and the Lessons of History

I am deeply skeptical of the current trend towards vertical integration, often referred to as the neo-Fordist approach. While you have listed several companies that are adopting this strategy, there is a notable lack of empirical evidence demonstrating why this model is superior for shareholders. It is crucial to consider the broader implications and historical context of such business strategies.

One glaring omission in your analysis is the case of NVIDIA, which has emerged as one of the most valuable companies in recent years despite being a fabless chip company. This stands in stark contrast to Intel, which pursued a more vertically integrated approach and has lagged behind competitors like ARM, who were willing to outsource production to TSMC. This example underscores the potential pitfalls of vertical integration and the benefits of leveraging specialized tier-1 suppliers.

Vertical integration can indeed be advantageous in certain contexts, particularly when the necessary supply chain for new products does not yet exist, as was the case for companies like Tesla and SpaceX. However, the tier-1 supplier approach often proves to be more effective and efficient. The move towards vertical integration may be driven by a desire to extract more value from the supply chain, but it is also possible that this trend is merely a fad, and that this generation of CEOs will need to relearn the lessons of the past.

The mid-20th century was marked by the rise and fall of sprawling conglomerates, which ultimately proved to be unworkable nightmares. It is equally bizarre that the populists of today are nostalgic for the pre-shareholder value maximization era, where the management class had free rein to pursue personal pet projects with company assets. This nostalgia overlooks the inefficiencies and misallocations of resources that characterized that period.

In conclusion, it is essential to approach the trend towards vertical integration with a critical eye, considering the historical context and empirical evidence. The lessons of the past should not be dismissed lightly, and the potential benefits of tier-1 supplier relationships should not be overlooked.

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